Story · arXiv

Coding Agents Have Converged: Why the SWE-bench Leaderboard Can No Longer Order Its Top Entries, and What to Measure Instead (arXiv)

paper · Story page

Across 254 submissions, read without running a model, the two leading Verified entries each resolve 396 of 500 instances and exact paired McNemar tests separate none of the 29 adjacent pairs in the top thirty. Within-model scaffold ranges reach 29.8 points against that group's 8.8-point spread.

In plain words

  • Researchers checked whether published test scores could reliably rank the leading automated coding tools.
  • They compared different versions of the test, checking which programming tasks each tool completed successfully.
  • The leading tools often succeeded and failed on the same tasks.
  • For people choosing tools, the results could not reliably distinguish neighboring entries in one version's top 30.

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